Writing an investment thesis

Gathering support for a view you already hold produces a document that reads like a thesis and cannot be wrong. This course has you write a one page view, name in advance what would break it, and then write the strongest case against it yourself.

₹499/- ₹0

Offer ends in 5 days

1,000 seats total 241 left

759 already enrolled

Six things you will be able to do

10 units, 59 minutes. Every one of them ends with something you can do.

01 Write a claim that can be wrongA direction, a magnitude and a date. Without all three there is nothing to test.
02 Find the two variables it rests onMost views depend on far fewer things than the write-up suggests. Locate them.
03 Say where you differ from the priceThe single number on which your view departs from what is already expected.
04 Notice what stayed in the folderWhich evidence you reached for, and which you passed over without deciding to.
05 Name three disconfirmers in advanceEach with a threshold, any one of which would mean the claim is wrong.
06 Write the case against your own viewThe strongest one, by the person who made the claim. Then update, break, or do nothing.

What changes after this course

You stop assembling evidence for a conclusion and start writing what would change it, in advance, with a threshold attached.

A one page view carrying a dated claim, its two variables and where it differs

Three named observations, each with a threshold that would make the claim wrong

The strongest case against your own view, written before anyone else makes it

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